Liga de Ascenso · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Aserri FC
Home
2-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Guadalupe FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.18
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.62 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
80%
Draw
14%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
80%
1.18
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.25
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Aserri FC wins
0
Draws
0
Guadalupe FC wins
15 Aug 2026
Guadalupe FC
0 - 2
Aserri FC
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
6%
40%
Attack
26%
86%
Defence
33%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
80%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
Aserri FC
last 7 at home
4W
2D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.29
scored a game
0.86
conceded a game
Guadalupe FC
last 4 away from home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Aserri FC | Guadalupe FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/8 0% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 4/8 50% |
At half time
Aserri FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
20%
Behind
30%
Guadalupe FC
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
38%
Behind
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Aserri FC face Guadalupe FC in Liga de Ascenso. Aserri FC have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 2 (2.6 points per game). Guadalupe FC have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 10 (0.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Aserri FC won 1, Guadalupe FC won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
With a 80% probability backing Aserri FC, home advantage and superior chance creation make Aserri FC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 80% win probability for Aserri FC, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for Guadalupe FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Aserri FC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.25 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga de Ascenso.
