Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Atlético Porcuna
Home
2-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Churriana Vega
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.32 - 1.73
Win probability
Home
26%
Draw
18%
Away
56%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Home/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
77%
1.22
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
82%
Over 2.5
77%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atlético Porcuna wins
0
Draws
0
Churriana Vega wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
33%
44%
Attack
55%
22%
Defence
55%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
26%
Win probability
56%
Home and away record
Atlético Porcuna
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Churriana Vega
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Atlético Porcuna | Churriana Vega | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 2/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Atlético Porcuna
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
0%
Behind
67%
Churriana Vega
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Churriana Vega |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 11 |
Atlético Porcuna |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Atlético Porcuna face Churriana Vega in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9. Atlético Porcuna have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (2 points per game). Churriana Vega have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 82% and Both Teams to Score at 77%.
Churriana Vega's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 56% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Churriana Vega to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 26% win probability for Atlético Porcuna, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 56% probability for Churriana Vega. Our top recommended betting pick is Churriana Vega Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 77% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
