Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Calasancio
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Casalarreina
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.4 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
71%
Draw
17%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
71%
1.32
Double Chance
Home/Draw
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.16
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Calasancio wins
0
Draws
0
Casalarreina wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
22%
Recent form
33%
55%
Attack
22%
33%
Defence
44%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
71%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Calasancio
last 2 at home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Casalarreina
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Calasancio | Casalarreina | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 2/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 1/3 33% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 2/3 67% |
At half time
Calasancio
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Casalarreina
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Calasancio |
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 18 |
Casalarreina |
9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -17 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Calasancio face Casalarreina in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16. Calasancio have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (0.67 points per game). Casalarreina have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 2 and conceding 5 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 71% probability backing Calasancio, home advantage and superior chance creation make Calasancio to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 71% win probability for Calasancio, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Casalarreina. Our top recommended betting pick is Calasancio Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.16 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
