Primera Nacional · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Chacarita Juniors
Home
1-0
Full time
Estadio de Chacarita Juniors
Patronato
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70%
1.34
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
27%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chacarita Juniors wins
0
Draws
0
Patronato wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
40%
26%
Attack
20%
66%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Chacarita Juniors
last 6 at home
2W
2D
2L
1.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Patronato
last 6 away from home
0W
4D
2L
0.67
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Chacarita Juniors | Patronato | |
|---|---|---|
| 40% 4/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 0% 0/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Chacarita Juniors
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Patronato
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
Chacarita Juniors |
35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 |
Patronato |
35 | 7 | 16 | 12 | -6 | 37 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Chacarita Juniors face Patronato in Primera Nacional. Chacarita Juniors have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (0.6 points per game). Patronato have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 2 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 27% and Both Teams to Score at 35%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Chacarita Juniors, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Patronato. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 35%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors as part of the Primera Nacional.
