Primera Nacional · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
San Telmo
Home
3-2
Full time
Estadio Osvaldo Baletto
Almirante Brown
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
79%
1.19
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
21%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
San Telmo wins
0
Draws
0
Almirante Brown wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
33%
20%
Attack
20%
60%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Alm Almirante Brown | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | +4 | 46 |
| 12 | San San Telmo | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
Match Preview & Analysis
San Telmo face Almirante Brown in Primera Nacional. San Telmo have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (1 points per game). Almirante Brown have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 21% and Both Teams to Score at 30%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for San Telmo, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Almirante Brown. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 30%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Osvaldo Baletto as part of the Primera Nacional.
