Serie C - Girone B · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Latina
Home
1-1
Full time
Stadio Domenico Francioni
Ostia Mare
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.29
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.45 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
73%
Draw
15%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
73%
1.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.21
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Latina wins
1
Draws
0
Ostia Mare wins
16 Aug 2026
Latina
1 - 1
Ostia Mare
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
40%
53%
Attack
46%
60%
Defence
53%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
73%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Latina
last 4 at home
1W
3D
0L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Ostia Mare
last 6 away from home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
1.17
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Latina | Ostia Mare | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 4/9 44% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/9 11% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 4/9 44% |
At half time
Latina
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
50%
Behind
13%
Ostia Mare
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
33%
Behind
44%
Match Preview & Analysis
Latina face Ostia Mare in Serie C - Girone B. Latina have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game). Ostia Mare have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Latina won 0, Ostia Mare won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 73% probability backing Latina, home advantage and superior chance creation make Latina to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 73% win probability for Latina, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Ostia Mare. Our top recommended betting pick is Latina Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.21 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Domenico Francioni as part of the Serie C - Girone B.
