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Serie C - Girone C · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Salernitana
Home
2-1
Full time
Stadio Arechi
Bari
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
67%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
26%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Salernitana wins
0
Draws
0
Bari wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
73%
53%
Attack
46%
66%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Salernitana
last 6 at home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Bari
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Salernitana | Bari | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/8 0% |
| 88% 7/8 | Both teams scored | 2/8 25% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/8 63% |
| 0% 0/8 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
Salernitana
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
Bari
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
38%
Behind
13%
Match Preview & Analysis
Salernitana face Bari in Serie C - Girone C. Salernitana have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game). Bari have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 26% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Salernitana, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Bari. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Arechi as part of the Serie C - Girone C.
