UEFA Nations League · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Greece
Home
0-0
Full time
Toumba Stadium
Germany
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
90%
1.04
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
83%
1.13
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
10%
Over 2.5
17%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Greece wins
0
Draws
0
Germany wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
58%
66%
Attack
50%
50%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Greece
last 1 at home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Germany
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Greece | Germany | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 2/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 100% 2/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 100% 2/2 | Both teams scored | 3/4 75% |
| 0% 0/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/2 | Failed to score | 0/4 0% |
At half time
Greece
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
100%
Level
0%
Behind
0%
Germany
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Greece face Germany in UEFA Nations League. Greece have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Germany have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 10% and Both Teams to Score at 17%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Greece, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Germany. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 17%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Toumba Stadium as part of the UEFA Nations League.
