UEFA Nations League · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Netherlands
Home
2-1
Full time
Philips Stadion
Serbia
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.03
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.88 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
91%
Draw
4%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
91%
1.03
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
84%
1.12
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
84%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Netherlands wins
0
Draws
0
Serbia wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
5%
91%
Attack
16%
58%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
91%
Win probability
5%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NED Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 4 | Ser Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 0 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Netherlands face Serbia in UEFA Nations League. Netherlands have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). Serbia have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 games, scoring 1 and conceding 4 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 84% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 91% probability backing Netherlands, home advantage and superior chance creation make Netherlands to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 91% win probability for Netherlands, a 4% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Serbia. Our top recommended betting pick is Netherlands Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Philips Stadion as part of the UEFA Nations League.
