UEFA Nations League · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Portugal
Home
2-1
Full time
Estádio do Dragão
Norway
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.4 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
71%
Draw
12%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
71%
1.32
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
92%
1.02
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
84%
1.12
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
92%
Over 2.5
84%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.23
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Portugal wins
0
Draws
0
Norway wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
40%
66%
Attack
53%
80%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
71%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Portugal
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Norway
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Portugal | Norway | |
|---|---|---|
| 40% 2/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 20% 1/5 | Both teams scored | 6/6 100% |
| 60% 3/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/6 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
Portugal
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
40%
Behind
0%
Norway
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
50%
Behind
17%
Match Preview & Analysis
Portugal face Norway in UEFA Nations League. Portugal have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Norway have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 11 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 92% and Both Teams to Score at 84%.
With a 71% probability backing Portugal, home advantage and superior chance creation make Portugal to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 71% win probability for Portugal, a 12% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Norway. Our top recommended betting pick is Portugal Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.23 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 84% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Estádio do Dragão as part of the UEFA Nations League.
