Segunda División · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Bolívar
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Monagas II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.38 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
70%
Draw
14%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
Home/Draw
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
89%
1.06
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
79%
1.19
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
89%
Over 2.5
79%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.21
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Bolívar v Monagas II pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Bolívar wins
0
Draws
0
Monagas II wins
16 Aug 2026
Monagas II
2 - 3
Bolívar
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
53%
73%
Attack
66%
53%
Defence
53%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
70%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Bolívar
last 8 at home
5W
2D
1L
2.13
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Monagas II
last 4 away from home
2W
2D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Bolívar | Monagas II | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 6/7 86% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 0/7 0% |
At half time
Bolívar
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
30%
Behind
10%
Monagas II
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
43%
Behind
14%
Match Preview & Analysis
Bolívar face Monagas II in Segunda División. Bolívar have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (2.2 points per game). Monagas II have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Bolívar won 1, Monagas II won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 89% and Both Teams to Score at 79%.
With a 70% probability backing Bolívar, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bolívar to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 70% win probability for Bolívar, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Monagas II. Our top recommended betting pick is Bolívar Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.21 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 79% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Segunda División.
