Segunda División · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Plaza Colonia
Home
1-3
Full time
Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi
Cerrito
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.42
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.28 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
66%
Draw
21%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
66%
1.42
Double Chance
Home/Draw
87%
1.08
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Plaza Colonia wins
0
Draws
1
Cerrito wins
28 Jun 2026
Cerrito
1 - 0
Plaza Colonia
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
53%
40%
Attack
46%
73%
Defence
73%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
66%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
Plaza Colonia
last 6 at home
4W
2D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Cerrito
last 8 away from home
2W
3D
3L
1.13
points a game
0.75
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Plaza Colonia | Cerrito | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Plaza Colonia
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
Cerrito
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Plaza Colonia face Cerrito in Segunda División. Plaza Colonia have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Cerrito have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Plaza Colonia won 0, Cerrito won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 66% probability backing Plaza Colonia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Plaza Colonia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 66% win probability for Plaza Colonia, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Cerrito. Our top recommended betting pick is Plaza Colonia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi as part of the Segunda División.
