Liga Mayor · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Salcedo
Home
1-0
Full time
Estadio Domingo Polonia
Moca
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.07 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
57%
Draw
25%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
Home/Draw
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Salcedo wins
1
Draws
0
Moca wins
27 Aug 2026
Moca
0 - 0
Salcedo
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
73%
66%
Attack
46%
86%
Defence
73%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
57%
Win probability
18%
Home and away record
Salcedo
last 6 at home
3W
3D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Moca
last 3 away from home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Salcedo | Moca | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 3/7 43% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/7 57% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/7 43% |
At half time
Salcedo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Moca
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
71%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Salcedo face Moca in Liga Mayor. Salcedo have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game). Moca have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (2.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Salcedo won 0, Moca won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 57% probability backing Salcedo, home advantage and superior chance creation make Salcedo to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 57% win probability for Salcedo, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for Moca. Our top recommended betting pick is Salcedo Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Domingo Polonia as part of the Liga Mayor.
