Primera Nacional · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
San Martin Tucuman
Home
1-0
Full time
Estadio La Ciudadela
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
67%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
San Martin Tucuman wins
0
Draws
0
Gimnasia Y Tiro wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
46%
53%
Attack
33%
46%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
San Martin Tucuman
last 6 at home
2W
3D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.83
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Gimnasia Y Tiro
last 8 away from home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
1.25
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| San Martin Tucuman | Gimnasia Y Tiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
San Martin Tucuman
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
Gimnasia Y Tiro
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Gimnasia Y Tiro |
35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | +3 | 52 |
| 10 |
San Martin Tucuman |
35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 46 |
Match Preview & Analysis
San Martin Tucuman face Gimnasia Y Tiro in Primera Nacional. San Martin Tucuman have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game). Gimnasia Y Tiro have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for San Martin Tucuman, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Gimnasia Y Tiro. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 21:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio La Ciudadela as part of the Primera Nacional.
