CONCACAF Nations League · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Aruba
Home
3-2
Full time
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium
Anguilla
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
60%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Aruba wins
0
Draws
0
Anguilla wins
30 Sep 2026
Anguilla
0 - 2
Aruba
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
5%
50%
Attack
5%
95%
Defence
33%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Aruba
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Anguilla
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Aruba | Anguilla | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 1/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 0% 0/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 0% 0/2 | Both teams scored | 0/3 0% |
| 100% 2/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 0% 0/2 | Failed to score | 3/3 100% |
At half time
Aruba
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Anguilla
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Aruba face Anguilla in CONCACAF Nations League. Aruba have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 3 and conceding 0 (3 points per game). Anguilla have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 3 games, scoring 0 and conceding 6 (0 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Aruba won 1, Anguilla won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Aruba, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Anguilla. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Sir Vivian Richards Stadium as part of the CONCACAF Nations League.
