Primera Premier · Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026
Celaya
Home
0-1
Full time
Estadio Miguel Aleman Valdes
Jaguares de Chiapas
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.08
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.79 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
87%
Draw
10%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
87%
1.08
Double Chance
Home/Draw
97%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
84%
1.12
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
84%
Over 1.5
3.36
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Celaya wins
0
Draws
0
Jaguares de Chiapas wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
83%
Recent form
41%
66%
Attack
33%
83%
Defence
58%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
87%
Win probability
5%
Match Preview & Analysis
Celaya face Jaguares de Chiapas in Primera Premier. Celaya have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 8 and conceding 2 (2.5 points per game). Jaguares de Chiapas have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
With a 87% probability backing Celaya, home advantage and superior chance creation make Celaya to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 87% win probability for Celaya, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Jaguares de Chiapas. Our top recommended betting pick is Celaya Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.36 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026 at 02:05 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Aleman Valdes as part of the Primera Premier.
