Persha Liga · Monday, 05 Oct 2026
Yarud Mariupol'
Home
0-0
Full time
Kolos Stadium
Nyva Ternopil
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.14
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
25%
Away
29%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Yarud Mariupol' wins
0
Draws
0
Nyva Ternopil wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
46%
53%
Attack
60%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
46%
Win probability
29%
Home and away record
Yarud Mariupol'
last 6 at home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Nyva Ternopil
last 8 away from home
3W
3D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Yarud Mariupol' | Nyva Ternopil | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Yarud Mariupol'
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
20%
Behind
30%
Nyva Ternopil
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Yarud Mariupol' |
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +9 | 28 |
| 7 |
Nyva Ternopil |
15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 22 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Yarud Mariupol' face Nyva Ternopil in Persha Liga. Yarud Mariupol' have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). Nyva Ternopil have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 46% probability backing Yarud Mariupol', home advantage and superior chance creation make Yarud Mariupol' to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for Yarud Mariupol', a 25% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability for Nyva Ternopil. Our top recommended betting pick is Yarud Mariupol' Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 05 Oct 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at Kolos Stadium as part of the Persha Liga.
