UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Monday, 05 Oct 2026
Italy U21
Home
6-2
Full time
Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia
Poland U21
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
24%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Italy U21 wins
0
Draws
0
Poland U21 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
95%
33%
Attack
95%
95%
Defence
95%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
30%
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
1 matches.
| Italy U21 | Poland U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0% 0/1 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 0% 0/1 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 0% 0/1 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/1 0% |
| 0% 0/1 | Both teams scored | 0/1 0% |
| 100% 1/1 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/1 100% |
| 0% 0/1 | Failed to score | 0/1 0% |
At half time
Italy U21
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Poland U21
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
100%
Level
0%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Italy U21 |
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +25 | 27 |
| 1 |
Poland U21 |
8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +13 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Italy U21 face Poland U21 in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification. Italy U21 have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 games, scoring 1 and conceding 0 (3 points per game). Poland U21 have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 games, scoring 3 and conceding 0 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 45% probability backing Italy U21, home advantage and superior chance creation make Italy U21 to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Italy U21, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Poland U21. Our top recommended betting pick is Italy U21 Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 05 Oct 2026 at 16:15 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia as part of the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
