Primera B Metropolitana · Monday, 05 Oct 2026
UAI Urquiza
Home
3-2
Full time
Monumental de Villa Lynch
Ituzaingó
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.07 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
57%
Draw
29%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
Home/Draw
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
29%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
UAI Urquiza wins
0
Draws
0
Ituzaingó wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
6%
20%
Attack
26%
53%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
57%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
UAI Urquiza
last 8 at home
1W
3D
4L
0.75
points a game
0.38
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
Ituzaingó
last 8 away from home
0W
3D
5L
0.38
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| UAI Urquiza | Ituzaingó | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 0% 0/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 6/10 60% |
At half time
UAI Urquiza
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Ituzaingó
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
70%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 |
UAI Urquiza |
40 | 6 | 21 | 13 | -13 | 39 |
| 22 |
Ituzaingó |
41 | 1 | 14 | 26 | -39 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
UAI Urquiza face Ituzaingó in Primera B Metropolitana. UAI Urquiza have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.6 points per game). Ituzaingó have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 11 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 29% and Both Teams to Score at 30%.
With a 57% probability backing UAI Urquiza, home advantage and superior chance creation make UAI Urquiza to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 57% win probability for UAI Urquiza, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Ituzaingó. Our top recommended betting pick is UAI Urquiza Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 30%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 05 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Monumental de Villa Lynch as part of the Primera B Metropolitana.
