Primera B Metropolitana · Monday, 05 Oct 2026
UAI Urquiza
Home
3-2
Full time
Monumental de Villa Lynch
Ituzaingó
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.07 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
57%
Draw
29%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
Home/Draw
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
29%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
UAI Urquiza wins
0
Draws
0
Ituzaingó wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
13%
26%
Attack
26%
53%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
57%
Win probability
15%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | UAI UAI Urquiza | 38 | 5 | 20 | 13 | -14 | 35 |
| 22 | Itu Ituzaingó | 38 | 1 | 12 | 25 | -37 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
UAI Urquiza face Ituzaingó in Primera B Metropolitana. UAI Urquiza have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game). Ituzaingó have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 29% and Both Teams to Score at 30%.
With a 57% probability backing UAI Urquiza, home advantage and superior chance creation make UAI Urquiza to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 57% win probability for UAI Urquiza, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Ituzaingó. Our top recommended betting pick is UAI Urquiza Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 30%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 05 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Monumental de Villa Lynch as part of the Primera B Metropolitana.
