UEFA Nations League · Monday, 05 Oct 2026
France
Home
4-1
Full time
Stade de France
Belgium
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 1.57
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.28 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
24%
Draw
60%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
60%
1.57
Double Chance
Home/Draw
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
98%
1.01
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
93%
1.01
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
2%
Over 2.5
7%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.15
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
France wins
0
Draws
0
Belgium wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
66%
53%
Attack
66%
40%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
24%
Win probability
17%
Team news
France
- W. Saliba · Back Bruise
Belgium
- A. Onana · Cruciate Ligament Rupture
- Z. Debast · Wound
- J. Doku · Illness
- N. Ngoy · Red Card
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Match Preview & Analysis
France face Belgium in UEFA Nations League. France have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game). Belgium have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 3 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 2% and Both Teams to Score at 7%.
With evenly matched metrics (24% vs 17%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 24% win probability for France, a 60% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Belgium. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.15 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 7%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 05 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Stade de France as part of the UEFA Nations League.
