UEFA Nations League · Monday, 05 Oct 2026
Romania
Home
0-1
Full time
Arena Națională
Sweden
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.08 - 2.04
Win probability
Home
16%
Draw
12%
Away
70%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
70%
1.34
Double Chance
Draw/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
92%
1.02
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
84%
1.12
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
96%
1.01
Goals & trends
92%
Over 2.5
84%
BTTS
96%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Romania wins
0
Draws
0
Sweden wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
5%
Recent form
22%
5%
Attack
33%
5%
Defence
22%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
16%
Win probability
70%
Home and away record
Romania
last 0 at home
No at home games on record yet.
Sweden
last 3 away from home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Romania | Sweden | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 1/1 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 100% 1/1 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 100% 1/1 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/1 | Both teams scored | 3/3 100% |
| 0% 0/1 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 100% 1/1 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
Romania
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
0%
Behind
100%
Sweden
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Romania face Sweden in UEFA Nations League. Romania have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 games, scoring 0 and conceding 6 (0 points per game). Sweden have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.67 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 92% and Both Teams to Score at 84%.
Sweden's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 70% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Sweden to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 16% win probability for Romania, a 12% chance of a draw, and a 70% probability for Sweden. Our top recommended betting pick is Sweden Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 84% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Monday, 05 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Arena Națională as part of the UEFA Nations League.
