Liga Profesional Argentina · Monday, 05 Oct 2026
Velez Sarsfield
Home
2-2
Full time
Jose Amalfitani
Platense
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.22
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.55 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
77%
Draw
16%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
77%
1.22
Double Chance
Home/Draw
93%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3.18
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Velez Sarsfield wins
0
Draws
0
Platense wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
40%
40%
Attack
26%
73%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
77%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
Velez Sarsfield
last 6 at home
4W
2D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.17
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Platense
last 8 away from home
2W
0D
6L
0.75
points a game
0.88
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Velez Sarsfield | Platense | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Velez Sarsfield
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Platense
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Velez Sarsfield |
32 | 14 | 14 | 4 | +14 | 56 |
| 24 |
Platense |
32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | -7 | 36 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Velez Sarsfield face Platense in Liga Profesional Argentina. Velez Sarsfield have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game). Platense have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
With a 77% probability backing Velez Sarsfield, home advantage and superior chance creation make Velez Sarsfield to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 77% win probability for Velez Sarsfield, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for Platense. Our top recommended betting pick is Velez Sarsfield Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.18 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 05 Oct 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at Jose Amalfitani as part of the Liga Profesional Argentina.
