Primera B Metropolitana · Monday, 05 Oct 2026
Deportivo Merlo
Home
0-0
Full time
Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium
Brown DE Adrogue
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.54 - 1.25
Win probability
Home
35%
Draw
31%
Away
34%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
67%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
38%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.79
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Deportivo Merlo wins
0
Draws
0
Brown DE Adrogue wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
20%
20%
Attack
6%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
35%
Win probability
34%
Home and away record
Deportivo Merlo
last 7 at home
2W
1D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.14
scored a game
1.86
conceded a game
Brown DE Adrogue
last 7 away from home
0W
4D
3L
0.57
points a game
0.14
scored a game
0.71
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Deportivo Merlo | Brown DE Adrogue | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Deportivo Merlo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
70%
Behind
20%
Brown DE Adrogue
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
Deportivo Merlo |
41 | 11 | 15 | 15 | -15 | 48 |
| 19 |
Brown DE Adrogue |
40 | 9 | 16 | 15 | -12 | 43 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Deportivo Merlo face Brown DE Adrogue in Primera B Metropolitana. Deportivo Merlo have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (0.8 points per game). Brown DE Adrogue have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 5 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 38% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (35% vs 34%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 35% win probability for Deportivo Merlo, a 31% chance of a draw, and a 34% probability for Brown DE Adrogue. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.79 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 05 Oct 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium as part of the Primera B Metropolitana.
