EFL Trophy · Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026
Fleetwood Town
Home
4-1
Full time
Highbury Stadium
Barnsley
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
26%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Fleetwood Town v Barnsley pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fleetwood Town wins
0
Draws
0
Barnsley wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
13%
20%
Attack
53%
60%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
55%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Fleetwood Town
last 8 at home
5W
3D
0L
2.25
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.38
conceded a game
Barnsley
last 8 away from home
2W
3D
3L
1.13
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Fleetwood Town | Barnsley | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Fleetwood Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Barnsley
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Fleetwood Town face Barnsley in EFL Trophy. Fleetwood Town have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (0.8 points per game). Barnsley have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 16 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 55% probability backing Fleetwood Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Fleetwood Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for Fleetwood Town, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Barnsley. Our top recommended betting pick is Fleetwood Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Highbury Stadium as part of the EFL Trophy.
