EFL Trophy · Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026
Exeter City
Home
2-2
Full time
St James Park
Oxford United
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.18 - 1.53
Win probability
Home
20%
Draw
33%
Away
47%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Draw/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
62%
1.52
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
33%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.71
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Exeter City wins
0
Draws
0
Oxford United wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
66%
33%
Attack
73%
80%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
20%
Win probability
47%
Home and away record
Exeter City
last 7 at home
3W
4D
0L
1.86
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.29
conceded a game
Oxford United
last 6 away from home
4W
0D
2L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Exeter City | Oxford United | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Exeter City
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Oxford United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
60%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Exeter City face Oxford United in EFL Trophy. Exeter City have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (1.6 points per game). Oxford United have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 33% and Both Teams to Score at 38%.
Oxford United's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 47% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Oxford United to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 20% win probability for Exeter City, a 33% chance of a draw, and a 47% probability for Oxford United. Our top recommended betting pick is Oxford United Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.71 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 38%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at St James Park as part of the EFL Trophy.
