EFL Trophy · Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026
Newport County
Home
2-2
Full time
Rodney Parade
Plymouth
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.47 - 1.49
Win probability
Home
32%
Draw
23%
Away
45%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Draw/Away
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
61%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Newport County wins
0
Draws
0
Plymouth wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
95%
20%
Attack
95%
86%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
32%
Win probability
45%
Home and away record
Newport County
last 5 at home
1W
2D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.40
scored a game
2.20
conceded a game
Plymouth
last 8 away from home
6W
1D
1L
2.38
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Newport County | Plymouth | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Newport County
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
60%
Behind
0%
Plymouth
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
20%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Newport County face Plymouth in EFL Trophy. Newport County have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 2 (1.2 points per game). Plymouth have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 17 and conceding 5 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 61% and Both Teams to Score at 60%.
Plymouth's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 45% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Plymouth to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 32% win probability for Newport County, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 45% probability for Plymouth. Our top recommended betting pick is Plymouth Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 60% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Rodney Parade as part of the EFL Trophy.
