EFL Trophy · Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026
AFC Wimbledon
Home
0-0
Full time
Plough Lane
Barnet
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.23 - 1.71
Win probability
Home
22%
Draw
23%
Away
55%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Draw/Away
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
AFC Wimbledon wins
0
Draws
0
Barnet wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
60%
33%
Attack
73%
73%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
22%
Win probability
55%
Home and away record
AFC Wimbledon
last 8 at home
3W
4D
1L
1.63
points a game
0.88
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Barnet
last 6 away from home
3W
2D
1L
1.83
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| AFC Wimbledon | Barnet | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 10/10 100% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
AFC Wimbledon
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Barnet
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
AFC Wimbledon face Barnet in EFL Trophy. AFC Wimbledon have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Barnet have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Barnet's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 55% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Barnet to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 22% win probability for AFC Wimbledon, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 55% probability for Barnet. Our top recommended betting pick is Barnet Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Plough Lane as part of the EFL Trophy.
