EFL Trophy · Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026
Cambridge United
Home
2-1
Full time
Abbey Stadium
Northampton
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.12 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
59%
Draw
28%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
62%
1.52
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
36%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.91
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Cambridge United wins
1
Draws
0
Northampton wins
28 Jul 2026
Cambridge United
0 - 0
Northampton
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
33%
73%
Attack
20%
60%
Defence
66%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
59%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
Cambridge United
last 6 at home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Northampton
last 8 away from home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Cambridge United | Northampton | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 6/10 60% |
At half time
Cambridge United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Northampton
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Cambridge United face Northampton in EFL Trophy. Cambridge United have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (2.2 points per game). Northampton have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (1 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Cambridge United won 0, Northampton won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 36% and Both Teams to Score at 38%.
With a 59% probability backing Cambridge United, home advantage and superior chance creation make Cambridge United to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 59% win probability for Cambridge United, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Northampton. Our top recommended betting pick is Cambridge United Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.91 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 38%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Abbey Stadium as part of the EFL Trophy.
