UEFA Nations League · Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026
Croatia
Home
1-2
Full time
Stadion Poljud
Spain
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.82 - 2.3
Win probability
Home
5%
Draw
13%
Away
82%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
68%
1.38
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
58%
1.62
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Croatia wins
0
Draws
1
Spain wins
29 Sep 2026
Spain
4 - 1
Croatia
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
95%
33%
Attack
80%
5%
Defence
80%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
5%
Win probability
82%
Home and away record
Croatia
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
4.00
conceded a game
Spain
last 3 away from home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Croatia | Spain | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/8 63% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 0/8 0% |
At half time
Croatia
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
Spain
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
63%
Level
38%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Croatia face Spain in UEFA Nations League. Croatia have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 12 (1.5 points per game). Spain have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 3 (3 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Croatia won 0, Spain won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 42%.
Spain's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 82% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Spain to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 5% win probability for Croatia, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 82% probability for Spain. Our top recommended betting pick is Spain Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 42%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Poljud as part of the UEFA Nations League.
