UEFA Nations League · Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026
Luxembourg
Home
0-2
Full time
Stade de Luxembourg
Bulgaria
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.88 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
49%
Draw
32%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
62%
1.52
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
33%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.8
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Luxembourg wins
0
Draws
0
Bulgaria wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
5%
Recent form
16%
5%
Attack
5%
33%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
49%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Luxembourg
last 1 at home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Bulgaria
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
2 matches.
| Luxembourg | Bulgaria | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 1/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 0% 0/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 0% 0/2 | Both teams scored | 0/2 0% |
| 0% 0/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/2 50% |
| 100% 2/2 | Failed to score | 2/2 100% |
At half time
Luxembourg
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
0%
Behind
100%
Bulgaria
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Luxembourg face Bulgaria in UEFA Nations League. Luxembourg have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 games, scoring 0 and conceding 4 (0 points per game). Bulgaria have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 0 and conceding 3 (0.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 33% and Both Teams to Score at 38%.
With a 49% probability backing Luxembourg, home advantage and superior chance creation make Luxembourg to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 49% win probability for Luxembourg, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Bulgaria. Our top recommended betting pick is Luxembourg Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.8 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 38%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Stade de Luxembourg as part of the UEFA Nations League.
