Non League Premier - Northern · Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026
Alfreton Town
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
United of Manchester
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.45 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
73%
Draw
16%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
61%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.19
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Alfreton Town v United of Manchester pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alfreton Town wins
0
Draws
0
United of Manchester wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
80%
40%
Attack
95%
53%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
73%
Win probability
11%
Home and away record
Alfreton Town
last 8 at home
4W
0D
4L
1.50
points a game
1.38
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
United of Manchester
last 8 away from home
2W
1D
5L
0.88
points a game
1.38
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Alfreton Town | United of Manchester | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Alfreton Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
20%
Behind
30%
United of Manchester
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
40%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Alfreton Town |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | +1 | 23 |
| 21 |
United of Manchester |
16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -7 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Alfreton Town face United of Manchester in Non League Premier - Northern. Alfreton Town have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game). United of Manchester have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 19 and conceding 7 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 61% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 73% probability backing Alfreton Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Alfreton Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 73% win probability for Alfreton Town, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for United of Manchester. Our top recommended betting pick is Alfreton Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.19 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Non League Premier - Northern.
