Segunda División · Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026
U. San Martin
Home
20:30
d ::
Villa Deportiva USMP
Alianza Universidad
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.16 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
61%
Draw
22%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
U. San Martin wins
0
Draws
0
Alianza Universidad wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
46%
46%
Attack
40%
33%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
61%
Win probability
17%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | U. U. San Martin | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +9 | 24 |
| 5 | Ali Alianza Universidad | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
U. San Martin face Alianza Universidad in Segunda División. U. San Martin have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (0.8 points per game). Alianza Universidad have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 61% probability backing U. San Martin, home advantage and superior chance creation make U. San Martin to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 61% win probability for U. San Martin, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Alianza Universidad. Our top recommended betting pick is U. San Martin Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026 at 20:30 (East Africa Time) at Villa Deportiva USMP as part of the Segunda División.
