Serie B · Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026
Sport Recife
Home
2-1
Full time
Ilha do Retiro
São Bernardo
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.47
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.92 - 2.15
Win probability
Home
9%
Draw
16%
Away
75%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
64%
1.47
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
70%
1.34
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sport Recife wins
0
Draws
0
São Bernardo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
80%
53%
Attack
60%
60%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
9%
Win probability
75%
Home and away record
Sport Recife
last 7 at home
4W
3D
0L
2.14
points a game
2.14
scored a game
1.14
conceded a game
São Bernardo
last 8 away from home
3W
1D
4L
1.25
points a game
1.38
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Sport Recife | São Bernardo | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 0% 0/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Sport Recife
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
São Bernardo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
70%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Sport Recife |
37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | +8 | 55 |
| 11 |
São Bernardo |
37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | +10 | 52 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sport Recife face São Bernardo in Serie B. Sport Recife have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). São Bernardo have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 3 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
São Bernardo's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 75% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for São Bernardo to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 9% win probability for Sport Recife, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 75% probability for São Bernardo. Our top recommended betting pick is São Bernardo Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at Ilha do Retiro as part of the Serie B.
