Serie B · Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026
Goias
Home
2-1
Full time
Estádio da Serrinha
Athletic Club
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.24 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
64%
Draw
21%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Goias wins
0
Draws
0
Athletic Club wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
40%
33%
Attack
33%
46%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
64%
Win probability
16%
Home and away record
Goias
last 8 at home
4W
1D
3L
1.63
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Athletic Club
last 8 away from home
3W
0D
5L
1.13
points a game
1.13
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Goias | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Goias
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Athletic Club
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Goias |
37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | -2 | 58 |
| 14 |
Athletic Club |
37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 0 | 47 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Goias face Athletic Club in Serie B. Goias have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game). Athletic Club have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 64% probability backing Goias, home advantage and superior chance creation make Goias to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 64% win probability for Goias, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for Athletic Club. Our top recommended betting pick is Goias Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio da Serrinha as part of the Serie B.
