Serie B · Wednesday, 07 Oct 2026
Ponte Preta
Home
0-2
Full time
Moisés Lucarelli
Juventude
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.32 - 1.56
Win probability
Home
26%
Draw
26%
Away
48%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Draw/Away
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
64%
1.47
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
64%
Over 1.5
2.88
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ponte Preta wins
0
Draws
0
Juventude wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
46%
6%
Attack
53%
20%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
26%
Win probability
48%
Home and away record
Ponte Preta
last 8 at home
1W
2D
5L
0.63
points a game
0.63
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Juventude
last 8 away from home
3W
3D
2L
1.50
points a game
0.88
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Ponte Preta | Juventude | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 6/10 60% |
| 80% 8/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Ponte Preta
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
Juventude
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
70%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Juventude |
37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | +23 | 68 |
| 20 |
Ponte Preta |
37 | 3 | 6 | 28 | -58 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Ponte Preta face Juventude in Serie B. Ponte Preta have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 12 (0.6 points per game). Juventude have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Juventude's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 48% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Juventude to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 26% win probability for Ponte Preta, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 48% probability for Juventude. Our top recommended betting pick is Juventude Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.88 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 07 Oct 2026 at 00:35 (East Africa Time) at Moisés Lucarelli as part of the Serie B.
