Third League - Southwest · Wednesday, 07 Oct 2026
Belasitsa
Home
1-2
Full time
Stadion Tsar Samuil
Balkan Botevgrad
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.12
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
27%
Away
28%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
63%
1.49
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
63%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Belasitsa wins
0
Draws
0
Balkan Botevgrad wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
26%
33%
Attack
20%
33%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
28%
Home and away record
Belasitsa
last 5 at home
2W
0D
3L
1.20
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.20
conceded a game
Balkan Botevgrad
last 4 away from home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
0.25
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Belasitsa | Balkan Botevgrad | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/9 11% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 2/9 22% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 4/9 44% |
At half time
Belasitsa
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
22%
Behind
67%
Balkan Botevgrad
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Balkan Botevgrad |
16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 |
Belasitsa |
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -1 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Belasitsa face Balkan Botevgrad in Third League - Southwest. Belasitsa have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10 (0.6 points per game). Balkan Botevgrad have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 45% probability backing Belasitsa, home advantage and superior chance creation make Belasitsa to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Belasitsa, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% probability for Balkan Botevgrad. Our top recommended betting pick is Belasitsa Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 07 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Tsar Samuil as part of the Third League - Southwest.
