Third League - Southwest · Wednesday, 07 Oct 2026
Natsional Sofia
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Septemvri Sofia II
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.32 - 1.6
Win probability
Home
26%
Draw
25%
Away
50%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Draw/Away
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
66%
1.42
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
66%
Over 1.5
2.92
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Natsional Sofia wins
0
Draws
0
Septemvri Sofia II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
46%
60%
Attack
53%
33%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
26%
Win probability
50%
Home and away record
Natsional Sofia
last 5 at home
1W
2D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.20
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Septemvri Sofia II
last 4 away from home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Natsional Sofia | Septemvri Sofia II | |
|---|---|---|
| 89% 8/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 67% 6/9 | Both teams scored | 5/7 71% |
| 11% 1/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/7 29% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 0/7 0% |
At half time
Natsional Sofia
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
38%
Behind
50%
Septemvri Sofia II
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
71%
Level
14%
Behind
14%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Septemvri Sofia II |
13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 19 |
| 18 |
Natsional Sofia |
15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -9 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Natsional Sofia face Septemvri Sofia II in Third League - Southwest. Natsional Sofia have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 10 (1 points per game). Septemvri Sofia II have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Septemvri Sofia II's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 50% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Septemvri Sofia II to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 26% win probability for Natsional Sofia, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 50% probability for Septemvri Sofia II. Our top recommended betting pick is Septemvri Sofia II Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.92 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 07 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Third League - Southwest.
