Goiano - 2 · Wednesday, 07 Oct 2026
Bom Jesus EC
Home
3-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Morrinhos
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
23%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bom Jesus EC wins
0
Draws
0
Morrinhos wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
26%
40%
Attack
26%
73%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
55%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Bom Jesus EC
last 7 at home
3W
3D
1L
1.71
points a game
1.29
scored a game
0.71
conceded a game
Morrinhos
last 7 away from home
1W
2D
4L
0.71
points a game
1.43
scored a game
1.86
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Bom Jesus EC | Morrinhos | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Bom Jesus EC
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
44%
Behind
11%
Morrinhos
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
57%
Behind
29%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Bom Jesus EC |
15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | +6 | 25 |
| 4 |
Morrinhos |
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 22 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Bom Jesus EC face Morrinhos in Goiano - 2. Bom Jesus EC have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game). Morrinhos have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 55% probability backing Bom Jesus EC, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bom Jesus EC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for Bom Jesus EC, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Morrinhos. Our top recommended betting pick is Bom Jesus EC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 07 Oct 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Goiano - 2.
