AfriPredictions
Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Liga Pro Serie B · Wednesday, 07 Oct 2026
22 de Julio
Home
2-5
Full time
Venue TBC
El Nacional
Away
Our Prediction ☆☆☆☆ confidence
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.42 - 1.29
Win probability
Home
30%
Draw
34%
Away
36%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41% 2.29
Double Chance
Draw/Away
70% 1.34
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
66% 1.42
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
60% 1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
34%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.71
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the 22 de Julio v El Nacional pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Open WhatsApp
Recent form: last 5 games
L L L D L
0-1-4
W-D-L
5:19
Goals
0.2
PPG
L L W L L
1-0-4
W-D-L
5:9
Goals
0.6
PPG
Head-to-head
0
22 de Julio wins
0
Draws
2
El Nacional wins
12 Sep 2026 El Nacional 3 - 0 22 de Julio
31 Jul 2026 22 de Julio 1 - 3 El Nacional
Why this prediction
6% Recent form 20%
33% Attack 33%
5% Defence 40%
5% Head-to-head 95%
30% Win probability 36%
Home and away record
22 de Julio
last 5 at home
0W
0D
5L
0.00
points a game
0.40
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
El Nacional
last 7 away from home
1W
1D
5L
0.57
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last 10 matches.
22 de Julio El Nacional
80% 8/10 Over 1.5 goals 6/10 60%
60% 6/10 Over 2.5 goals 4/10 40%
40% 4/10 Over 3.5 goals 2/10 20%
40% 4/10 Both teams scored 3/10 30%
0% 0/10 Kept a clean sheet 3/10 30%
60% 6/10 Failed to score 5/10 50%
At half time
22 de Julio
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break 0%
Level 20%
Behind 80%
El Nacional
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break 20%
Level 30%
Behind 50%
League standings
#TeamPWDLGDPts
11 22 de Julio 22 4 3 15 -21 15
12 El Nacional 22 2 6 14 -17 12
Match Preview & Analysis

22 de Julio face El Nacional in Liga Pro Serie B. 22 de Julio have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 19 (0.2 points per game). El Nacional have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game).

In their last 2 meetings on record, 22 de Julio won 0, El Nacional won 2 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 34% and Both Teams to Score at 40%.

With evenly matched metrics (30% vs 36%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.

Frequently Asked Questions Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 30% win probability for 22 de Julio, a 34% chance of a draw, and a 36% probability for El Nacional. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.71 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 40%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 07 Oct 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga Pro Serie B.
Before you go
Today's free banker is ready
2. Division
Skive v Thisted FC
Over / Under 2.5: Over 2.5 1.31 odds 72% model probability

269 free picks still to kick off today, graded the moment matches finish. 9 VIP picks are locked for members.

See today's free picks →

Find your best fit Highest-confidence model picks

Answer 2 quick questions Review today's ranked VIP selections

How often do you back our tips?

What matters most to you?

Won this week
Tips won

VIP includes today's highest-ranked model selections. Review the available probability and match context before you bet.

· See track record
Chat with AfriPredictions
Tap one, then hit send in WhatsApp. We reply instantly.
🎁 Get a free VIP pick One real pick from today's VIP slip, free. › ⚡ Unlock VIP in the chat Choose a plan and pay securely. M-Pesa is offered only for Kenyan numbers. ›
Payment methods depend on your country. M-Pesa is Kenya-only; secure card checkout is available internationally. Reply PAUSE for a break or STOP to unsubscribe. 18+ · T&Cs apply
Chat with us
We reply by email, usually within a couple of hours.
✅
Message sent!
We'll reply to your email shortly.
Text us on WhatsApp for a free VIP pick 🎁
Choose a secure payment method in the chat

7,254 winning picks this week
See every result ›
Average winning odds 1.73, graded automatically from final scores.
7,254 winning picks in the last 7 days
avg winning odds 1.73 · KES 100 → KES 173
Published before kick-off
No results edited after the fact
Independently checkable
The full record is public
Data-driven picks
Form, H2H and goal models
Secured by Paystack · M-Pesa & Card · Activated immediately on payment
Selected plan
Checking current exchange rate…
≈ Estimate · your bank sets the final rate
🇰🇪 +254 🌍 +
⚠️
Using an Airtel number?
Continue to Paystack and choose Airtel Money if it is available, or use Card, M-Pesa or Pesalink.

We send the M-Pesa prompt directly to this number. Enter your PIN on your phone to complete payment. Continue to Paystack and choose any payment method available for your number and account. Include your country code (e.g. 234 for Nigeria, 233 for Ghana, 55 for Brazil). Paystack will show the payment methods available to you. Amounts are charged in Kenyan Shillings.

You will not be asked for the number again.

Paystack may offer Airtel Money, Card, M-Pesa or Pesalink depending on what is enabled and available.

Secured byPaystack ·Card·M-Pesa·Pesalink