Serie A · Wednesday, 07 Oct 2026
Vitoria
Home
4-0
Full time
Estadio Manoel Barradas
Chapecoense-sc
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.28 - 1.58
Win probability
Home
24%
Draw
27%
Away
49%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Draw/Away
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vitoria wins
0
Draws
0
Chapecoense-sc wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
46%
33%
Attack
40%
40%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
24%
Win probability
49%
Home and away record
Vitoria
last 8 at home
4W
0D
4L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Chapecoense-sc
last 7 away from home
1W
2D
4L
0.71
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.86
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Vitoria | Chapecoense-sc | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Vitoria
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Chapecoense-sc
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
Vitoria |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -16 | 38 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc |
33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -35 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Vitoria face Chapecoense-sc in Serie A. Vitoria have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9 (0.8 points per game). Chapecoense-sc have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Chapecoense-sc's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 49% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Chapecoense-sc to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 24% win probability for Vitoria, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 49% probability for Chapecoense-sc. Our top recommended betting pick is Chapecoense-sc Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 07 Oct 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Manoel Barradas as part of the Serie A.
