Serie A · Wednesday, 07 Oct 2026
Botafogo
Home
1-2
Full time
Estádio Nilton Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.52
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.43 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
72%
Draw
16%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
62%
1.52
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3.19
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Botafogo wins
0
Draws
0
Vasco DA Gama wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
66%
26%
Attack
60%
46%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
72%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Botafogo
last 8 at home
3W
4D
1L
1.63
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Vasco DA Gama
last 8 away from home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Botafogo | Vasco DA Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Botafogo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
Vasco DA Gama
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Botafogo |
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -7 | 42 |
| 13 |
Vasco DA Gama |
33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 41 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Botafogo face Vasco DA Gama in Serie A. Botafogo have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (1 points per game). Vasco DA Gama have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 2 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 72% probability backing Botafogo, home advantage and superior chance creation make Botafogo to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 72% win probability for Botafogo, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Vasco DA Gama. Our top recommended betting pick is Botafogo Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.19 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 07 Oct 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio Nilton Santos as part of the Serie A.
