Serie B · Wednesday, 07 Oct 2026
America Mineiro
Home
0-1
Full time
Arena Independência
Fortaleza EC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
22%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
70%
1.34
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
America Mineiro wins
0
Draws
0
Fortaleza EC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
73%
20%
Attack
40%
40%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
America Mineiro
last 8 at home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Fortaleza EC
last 8 away from home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
0.88
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| America Mineiro | Fortaleza EC | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
America Mineiro
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
30%
Behind
60%
Fortaleza EC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Fortaleza EC |
37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | +11 | 62 |
| 19 |
America Mineiro |
37 | 8 | 5 | 24 | -28 | 29 |
Match Preview & Analysis
America Mineiro face Fortaleza EC in Serie B. America Mineiro have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game). Fortaleza EC have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 3 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 54% probability backing America Mineiro, home advantage and superior chance creation make America Mineiro to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for America Mineiro, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Fortaleza EC. Our top recommended betting pick is America Mineiro Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 07 Oct 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at Arena Independência as part of the Serie B.
