Ligi kuu Bara · Thursday, 08 Oct 2026
Mashujaa
Home
2-1
Full time
Lake Tanganyika Stadium
Polisi Tanzania
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.13 - 1.64
Win probability
Home
18%
Draw
30%
Away
52%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Draw/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
36%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.77
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mashujaa wins
0
Draws
0
Polisi Tanzania wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
60%
33%
Attack
53%
60%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
18%
Win probability
52%
Home and away record
Mashujaa
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Polisi Tanzania
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Mashujaa | Polisi Tanzania | |
|---|---|---|
| 44% 4/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 0% 0/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 33% 3/9 | Both teams scored | 4/9 44% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/9 44% |
| 33% 3/9 | Failed to score | 1/9 11% |
At half time
Mashujaa
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
67%
Behind
22%
Polisi Tanzania
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
56%
Level
22%
Behind
22%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Polisi Tanzania |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |
Mashujaa |
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Mashujaa face Polisi Tanzania in Ligi kuu Bara. Mashujaa have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game). Polisi Tanzania have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 36% and Both Teams to Score at 39%.
Polisi Tanzania's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 52% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Polisi Tanzania to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 18% win probability for Mashujaa, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 52% probability for Polisi Tanzania. Our top recommended betting pick is Polisi Tanzania Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.77 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 39%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 08 Oct 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at Lake Tanganyika Stadium as part of the Ligi kuu Bara.
