Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Stars League · Thursday, 08 Oct 2026
Al Wakrah
Home
3-2
Full time
Saoud bin Abdulrahman Stadium
Al-Gharafa
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.32 - 1.71
Win probability
Home
26%
Draw
19%
Away
55%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Al Wakrah wins
0
Draws
0
Al-Gharafa wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
26%
33%
Attack
46%
40%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
26%
Win probability
55%
Home and away record
Al Wakrah
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Al-Gharafa
last 3 away from home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Al Wakrah | Al-Gharafa | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 56% 5/9 | Both teams scored | 6/7 86% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 1/7 14% |
At half time
Al Wakrah
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
44%
Behind
33%
Al-Gharafa
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
57%
Behind
29%
Match Preview & Analysis
Al Wakrah face Al-Gharafa in Stars League. Al Wakrah have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9 (1 points per game). Al-Gharafa have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 64%.
Al-Gharafa's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 55% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Al-Gharafa to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 26% win probability for Al Wakrah, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 55% probability for Al-Gharafa. Our top recommended betting pick is Al-Gharafa Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 64% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 08 Oct 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at Saoud bin Abdulrahman Stadium as part of the Stars League.
