Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Iraqi League · Wednesday, 07 Oct 2026
Mosul
Home
0-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.18 - 1.8
Win probability
Home
20%
Draw
21%
Away
59%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
55%
1.71
Double Chance
Draw/Away
64%
1.47
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
70%
1.34
Goals & trends
62%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mosul wins
0
Draws
0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
26%
20%
Attack
33%
33%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
20%
Win probability
59%
Home and away record
Mosul
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
last 5 away from home
1W
2D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.60
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Mosul | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 7/9 78% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/9 0% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Mosul
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
38%
Behind
38%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
44%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Al Quwa Al Jawiya |
12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 16 |
Mosul |
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Mosul face Al Quwa Al Jawiya in Iraqi League. Mosul have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 10 (0.2 points per game). Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 62% and Both Teams to Score at 61%.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 59% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Al Quwa Al Jawiya to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 20% win probability for Mosul, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 59% probability for Al Quwa Al Jawiya. Our top recommended betting pick is Al Quwa Al Jawiya Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 61% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 07 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Iraqi League.
