Veikkausliiga · Thursday, 08 Oct 2026
HJK Helsinki
Home
6-0
Full time
Bolt Arena
VPS
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.56 - 1.34
Win probability
Home
36%
Draw
26%
Away
38%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Draw/Away
65%
1.45
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
66%
1.42
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
66%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
HJK Helsinki wins
0
Draws
0
VPS wins
18 Jul 2026
HJK Helsinki
2 - 1
VPS
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
40%
33%
Attack
13%
73%
Defence
73%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
36%
Win probability
38%
Home and away record
HJK Helsinki
last 8 at home
6W
1D
1L
2.38
points a game
2.25
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
VPS
last 6 away from home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
1.17
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| HJK Helsinki | VPS | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
HJK Helsinki
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
VPS
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
10%
Behind
60%
Match Preview & Analysis
HJK Helsinki face VPS in Veikkausliiga. HJK Helsinki have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game). VPS have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 4 (1.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, HJK Helsinki won 1, VPS won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (36% vs 38%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 36% win probability for HJK Helsinki, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 38% probability for VPS. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 08 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Bolt Arena as part of the Veikkausliiga.
