Serie A · Thursday, 08 Oct 2026
Santos
Home
2-2
Full time
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Flamengo
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.08 - 1.89
Win probability
Home
16%
Draw
21%
Away
63%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
57%
1.65
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Santos wins
0
Draws
0
Flamengo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
86%
73%
Attack
53%
53%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
16%
Win probability
63%
Home and away record
Santos
last 8 at home
4W
3D
1L
1.88
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Flamengo
last 8 away from home
5W
2D
1L
2.13
points a game
2.13
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Santos | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Santos
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
40%
Behind
10%
Flamengo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
30%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Santos face Flamengo in Serie A. Santos have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (2.4 points per game). Flamengo have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Flamengo's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 63% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Flamengo to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 16% win probability for Santos, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 63% probability for Flamengo. Our top recommended betting pick is Flamengo Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 08 Oct 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio Urbano Caldeira as part of the Serie A.
