Serie A · Thursday, 08 Oct 2026
Santos
Home
22:30
d ::
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Flamengo
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.08 - 1.89
Win probability
Home
16%
Draw
21%
Away
63%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
57%
1.65
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Santos wins
0
Draws
0
Flamengo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
86%
53%
Attack
53%
66%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
16%
Win probability
63%
Team news
Santos
- Neymar · Thigh Injury
- Vinicius Lira · Knee Injury
- Gabriel Brazao · Shoulder Injury
- Arthur Melo · Injury
- Luan Peres · Yellow Cards
- Gabriel Bontempo · Yellow Cards
- Willian Arao · Inactive
- A. Barreal · Thigh Injury
Flamengo
- Evertton Araujo · Thigh Injury
- G. de Arrascaeta · Wrist Injury
- Ayrton Lucas · Thigh Injury
- Lucas Paqueta · Yellow Cards
- E. Pulgar · Yellow Cards
- Samuel Lino · Yellow Cards
- G. Plata · Inactive
- Alex Sandro · Calf Injury
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fla Flamengo | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | +32 | 60 |
| 8 | San Santos | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 41 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Santos face Flamengo in Serie A. Santos have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (2.4 points per game). Flamengo have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Flamengo's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 63% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Flamengo to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 16% win probability for Santos, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 63% probability for Flamengo. Our top recommended betting pick is Flamengo Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 08 Oct 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio Urbano Caldeira as part of the Serie A.
