Serie B · Thursday, 08 Oct 2026
Ceara
Home
1-0
Full time
Estadio Castelão
Criciuma
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
36%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ceara wins
0
Draws
0
Criciuma wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
40%
46%
Attack
26%
66%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Ceara
last 7 at home
4W
1D
2L
1.86
points a game
1.29
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Criciuma
last 8 away from home
4W
1D
3L
1.63
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Ceara | Criciuma | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Ceara
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
30%
Behind
60%
Criciuma
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Ceara face Criciuma in Serie B. Ceara have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). Criciuma have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 36% and Both Teams to Score at 41%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Ceara, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Criciuma. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 41%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 08 Oct 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Castelão as part of the Serie B.
